The 2026 Budget,
explained for property buyers
A neutral, plain-English summary of the negative gearing and capital gains tax changes announced on 12 May 2026, what they mean for each buyer profile, and the key dates to remember.
Sources: budget.gov.au · ATO CGT guide · Baker McKenzie · William Buck · RSM Australia · CommBank Economics
What changed
The 2026–27 Budget contains two structural tax reforms targeting residential property investment, plus a set of exemptions and transitional rules. All changes take effect from 1 July 2027.
Negative gearing limited to new builds
For established residential properties purchased after 7:30 pm AEST on 12 May 2026, rental losses can no longer be offset against salary or other non-rental income from 1 July 2027. Losses can still be carried forward and applied against future rental income or capital gains. New builds are exempt and retain full negative gearing.
50% CGT discount replaced with indexation + 30% minimum tax
From 1 July 2027, the 50% capital gains tax discount is replaced for individuals, trusts and partnerships by cost-base indexation on assets held more than 12 months, with a 30% minimum tax rate. Capital growth accrued before 1 July 2027 still uses the existing 50% discount under transitional rules. The main residence CGT exemption, the superannuation one-third CGT discount, and (per the announcement) new builds are not subject to the new regime.
Grandfathering for existing owners
Properties held — including those under contract but not yet settled — as at 7:30 pm AEST on 12 May 2026 are grandfathered. Existing investors retain negative gearing on those properties until they sell. SMSFs, widely held trusts, build-to-rent and affordable housing programs are also exempt from the negative gearing changes.
What it means for you
The package affects buyer profiles differently. Find the description that fits your situation.
First home buyer / owner-occupier
Largely unaffected directly; positioned to benefit indirectly.
The main residence CGT exemption is unchanged. Reduced investor demand for established properties is expected to ease competition in the segments where first home buyers most commonly compete. CommBank's housing outlook revises forecast dwelling price growth to 3% to December 2026 (down from 5%).
Investor buying a new build
Tax position retained — and arguably enhanced relative to established stock.
Per the announcement, eligible new builds retain full negative gearing, and investors in new builds are able to choose between the 50% CGT discount and the new indexation method — whichever produces a better outcome. A 'new build' includes knock-down-rebuilds that increase the number of dwellings; substantial renovations that do not add supply are not eligible. Specific eligibility will be confirmed in the legislation.
Investor buying an established property
Material change to after-tax cash flow on purchases from 12 May 2026 onwards.
From 1 July 2027, rental losses on these properties can only be offset against rental income or capital gains — not against salary. CommBank estimates this is equivalent to a 90–155 basis-point increase in investor mortgage rates in immediate cash-flow terms. Properties contracted between 12 May 2026 and 30 June 2027 can be negatively geared until 30 June 2027 only.
Existing investor (held before 7:30 pm, 12 May 2026)
Grandfathered — no change to negative gearing while held.
Existing arrangements continue until the property is sold. CGT on disposal uses a split system: capital growth up to 1 July 2027 uses the existing 50% discount; growth from 1 July 2027 onwards uses cost-base indexation with the 30% minimum tax. The reform creates a 'lock-in' effect — existing investors have a stronger incentive to hold rather than sell.
SMSF / superannuation fund investor
Excluded from the negative gearing changes; one-third CGT discount retained.
Properties held in SMSFs and widely held trusts are explicitly outside scope of the negative gearing changes. Superannuation funds keep the one-third CGT discount for assets held more than 12 months. The 30% minimum tax does not apply to superannuation.
Key dates
The reforms work on three commencement points. The 7:30 pm AEST 12 May 2026 moment is the most consequential — it sets who is grandfathered.
7:30 pm AEST, 12 May 2026
Budget announced. Properties held or under contract at this moment are grandfathered.
12 May 2026 – 30 June 2027
Established property purchases in this window can still be negatively geared, but only until 30 June 2027.
1 July 2027
New regime commences. Negative gearing on established property quarantined; 50% CGT discount replaced by indexation + 30% minimum tax.
1 July 2028
Proposed 30% minimum tax on discretionary trusts commences (with limited exceptions and rollover relief).
Market impact — what the analysts say
CommBank Economics revised its forecast for dwelling price growth to 3% to December 2026 (from 5%), with 2027 unchanged at 3%. It estimates the removal of negative gearing on new established purchases is equivalent to a 90–155 basis-point increase in investor mortgage rates in cash-flow terms — largest for highly leveraged investors on top marginal tax rates.
The clearest channel for first home buyers is reduced investor competition in the established market. The clearest second-order effect is a lock-in effect on existing investors — grandfathered owners have a stronger incentive to hold rather than sell, which could constrain established stock listings in the years immediately after commencement.
Commercial property and shares are not affected by the negative gearing changes. The CGT changes apply to all CGT assets held more than 12 months by individuals, trusts and partnerships from 1 July 2027.
What buyers can do now
If you have a contract signed before 7:30 pm AEST on 12 May 2026 that has not yet settled — confirm in writing that the grandfathering status will apply. This is materially valuable.
If you're modelling an established investment purchase after 12 May 2026 — re-run your cash-flow projections without the salary offset benefit from 1 July 2027 onwards. The numbers change materially for highly leveraged, negatively geared deals.
If you're a first home buyer or owner-occupier — the reforms are expected to soften investor competition for established stock. Negotiation leverage in segments where investors have historically been active is likely to improve through 2026–27.
Specific tax and legal advice for your situation should come from a registered tax agent or solicitor. This page is general information, not advice.
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Last updated 22 May 2026. Reforms are announced and subject to passage of legislation through Parliament.